What could 100 trades do to your account?
Enter your starting balance, risk per trade, reward-to-risk target, and expected win rate. We’ll generate a random sequence of 100 trades and show how your account could evolve.
What this simulation tells you
A trading approach is not defined by win rate alone. Results are shaped by the relationship between win rate, reward-to-risk, position risk, and the order in which wins and losses occur.
Expectancy
Expectancy estimates how much you might gain or lose, on average, for each unit of risk over a large number of trades.
A strategy can have a low win rate and still have positive expectancy if winning trades are sufficiently larger than losing trades.
Drawdown
Drawdown measures how far the account falls from a previous high. It is one of the clearest ways to see the risk experienced along the way.
Two profitable simulations can finish in similar places while producing very different drawdowns.
Sequence Risk
The same wins and losses can produce different account paths depending on the order in which they occur.
That is why repeated simulations using identical assumptions can look surprisingly different.